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Alternative
Hit Potential
HitPredictors are songs that score well in pre-testing by a panel of music consumers who are radio listeners. All HitPredictors are chosen by the HitPredictor team, primarily using testing results; however, additional qualifications for HP selection include early indications from other sources that often predict musical success such as social media exposure and early airplay.
LW
TW
Mediabase airplay rank
HitPredictor Score
Score
8
8
The 1975
I'm in Love with You
The 1975
Dirty Hit
114.03
19
18
Wilderado
Surefire
Wilderado
Bright Antenna
111.45
9
14
Gorillaz
Cracker Island (feat. Thundercat)
Gorillaz
Warner
110.46
3
3
Paramore
This Is Why
Paramore
Atlantic
107.28
6
5
Talk
Run Away to Mars
Talk
Capitol
107.15
20
25
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Tippa My Tongue
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Warner
105.99
4
4
Weezer
Records
Weezer
Crush
100.15
7
7
All Time Low
Sleepwalking
All Time Low
Fueled by Ramen/3EE
99.56
1
1
Blink-182
Edging
Blink-182
Columbia
98.60
28
22
White_Reaper
Pages
White Reaper
Elektra/3EE*
95.07
21
20
Tame Impala
The Less I Know The Better
Tame Impala
Modular/Interscope
92.87
13
11
Silversun Pickups
Scared Together
Silversun Pickups
New Machine/Q Prime
88.83
5
6
Panic! At The Disco
Don't Let The Light Go Out
Panic! At The Disco
DCD2/Fueled by Ramen/3ee
88.58
24
23
BoyWithUke
New Sick of U (feat. Oliver Tree)
BoyWithUke
Mercury/Republic
88.54
2
2
Beach Weather
Sex, Drugs, Etc.
Beach Weather
8123/Arista
87.81
12
12
Almost Monday
sun keeps on shining
Almost Monday
Hollywood
84.01
32
38
Highly_Suspect
Natural Born Killer
Highly Suspect
Roadrunner/FRKST/3EE
83.71
31
39
AJR
I Won't
AJR
AJR Productions/BMG
82.86
11
10
Maneskin
The Loneliest
Maneskin
Sony Music Latin/Arista
81.09
22
28
Killers
Boy
Killers
Island/Republic
81.05
26
21
Yeah Yeah Yeahs
New Burning
Yeah Yeah Yeahs
Secretly Canadian
78.46
23
19
Yungblud
Tissues
Yungblud
Loco/Geffen/Interscope
77.90
18
27
Death Cab for Cutie
Here To Forever
Death Cab for Cutie
Atlantic
77.80
10
9
Lovelytheband
Sail Away
Lovelytheband
Happy Accident/The Orchard
77.71
17
17
The Struts
Fallin' with Me
The Struts
Big Machine
76.54
15
15
Phoenix
Tonight (feat. Ezra Koenig)
Phoenix
Columbia-Glassnote
75.73
16
16
Smashing Pumpkins
Beguiled
Smashing Pumpkins
Martha's/Thirty Tigers
72.91
14
13
Turnstile
Holiday
Turnstile
Roadrunner/RRP
68.37
Recent Hits
Recurrent songs that tested with Hit Potential prior to major airplay, ranked in order of HitPredictor scores and updated each Monday.
HitPredictor Score
Score
Kate Bush
Running Up That Hill (A Deal wi...
Kate Bush
EMI/Parlophone/Warner
108.58
Florence + The Machine
My Love
Florence + The Machine
Republic
107.00
Foo Fighters
Making A Fire
Foo Fighters
RCA
105.27
Aurora
Runaway
Aurora
Glassnote
101.73
Vance_Joy
Clarity
Vance Joy
Atlantic
99.28
Black Keys
Wild Child
Black Keys
Nonesuch/Warner
98.00
Vance_Joy
Missing Piece
Vance Joy
Atlantic
96.04
Panic! At The Disco
Viva Las Vengeance
Panic! At The Disco
DCD2/Fueled by Ramen/3ee
95.11
My Chemical Romance
The Foundations of Decay
My Chemical Romance
Reprise/Warner
94.95
Wilderado
Head Right
Wilderado
Bright Antenna
94.83
Cold War Kids
What You Say
Cold War Kids
CWKTWO/AWAL
94.81
Willow
transparentsoul (feat. Travis B...
Willow
MSFTS/Roc Nation
93.79
Maneskin
Beggin
Maneskin
Sony Music Latin/Arista
92.04
Maggie_Rogers
Want Want
Maggie Rogers
Capitol
91.91
Cannons
Bad Dream
Cannons
Columbia
90.66
Imagine Dragons
Follow You
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
89.06
Daisy the Great x AJR
Record Player
Daisy the Great x AJR
S-Curve/Hollywood
88.87
Lumineers
Brightside
Lumineers
Dualtone/MNRK
88.76
Weezer
A Little Bit of Love
Weezer
Crush
88.62
Imagine Dragons
Bones
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
88.20
Bastille
Distorted Light Beam
Bastille
Republic
87.22
Muse
Won't Stand Down
Muse
Warner
86.07
Twenty One Pilots
The Outside
Twenty One Pilots
Fueled by Ramen/EMG
85.92
Maneskin
Supermodel
Maneskin
Sony Music Latin/Arista
85.86
Wolf_Alice
Smile
Wolf Alice
Dirty Hit/RCA
85.27
Yungblud
fleabag
Yungblud
Loco/Geffen/Interscope
84.89
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Black Summer
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Warner
84.59
Foals
Wake Me Up
Foals
ADA/Q Prime
84.26
Giovannie and the Hired Guns
Ramon Ayala
Giovannie and the Hired Guns
Crush
83.43
Milky Chance
Colorado
Milky Chance
Muggelig/further.
81.41
Glass_Animals
I Don't Wanna Talk (I Just Wann...
Glass Animals
Republic
81.25
Twenty One Pilots
Saturday
Twenty One Pilots
Fueled by Ramen/EMG
79.94
Bob_Moses
Love Brand New
Bob Moses
Domino/ASW/Capitol
79.56
Imagine Dragons
Wrecked
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
79.44
Yungblud
The Funeral
Yungblud
Loco/Geffen/Interscope
78.50
Portugal. The Man
What, Me Worry?
Portugal. The Man
Atlantic
78.15
Turnstile
Mystery
Turnstile
Roadrunner/RRP
77.72
Nathaniel Rateliff & the Night Sweats
Survivor
Nathaniel Rateliff & the Night Sweats
Stax/Fantasy/Concord
76.81
BoyWithUke
Toxic
BoyWithUke
Mercury/Republic
75.15
Jack White
What's the Trick
Jack White
Third Man/The Orchard
74.14
Cafune
Tek It
Cafune
Elektra/3ee
73.19
Phoenix
Alpha Zulu
Phoenix
Columbia-Glassnote
72.71
Foo Fighters
Love Dies Young
Foo Fighters
RCA
72.35
Walk the Moon
Can You Handle My Love?
Walk the Moon
RCA
72.24
The Maine
Loved You a Little
The Maine
Photo Finish/8123/Virgin
71.75
Dirty Heads
Life's Been Good
Dirty Heads
Better Noise
70.51
Lumineers
Where We Are
Lumineers
Dualtone/MNRK
69.32
Jack White
Taking Me Back
Jack White
Third Man/The Orchard
66.62
Imagine Dragons
Enemy
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
65.52
This Week's New HitPredictors
HitPredictor Score
Score
BoyWithUke
New Sick of U (feat. Oliver Tree)
BoyWithUke
Mercury/Republic
88.54
Yeah Yeah Yeahs
New Burning
Yeah Yeah Yeahs
Secretly Canadian
78.46
 
This Week's Proven & Developing Hits
Developing Hits
Songs that are top 10 spin gainers this week and not yet Proven. Each song only appears once as a Developing Hit.
UpNew 48-2022-11-28 11:04:18Tissues
Yungblud (Loco/Geffen/Interscope)
HitPredictor on Oct 17, 2022 -- Movers: top 5 gainer at Alternative this week, up over 75 spins.
Score: 77.90
TW: 19, LW: 23, Spins: +85
UpNew 48-2022-11-28 11:03:48Pages
White Reaper (Elektra/3EE*)
HitPredictor on Nov 21, 2022 -- Movers: top 10 gainer at Alternative this week, up over 75 spins.
Score: 95.07
TW: 22, LW: 28, Spins: +78
Proven Hits
Songs that test top 10 in national callout or top 10 in callout in key markets for the first time this week.
UpSleepwalking
All Time Low (Fueled by Ramen/3EE)
HitPredictor on Oct 24, 2022 -- Callout: top 15 in national callout this week. Top 10 Spins: top 10 at 42 Alternative stations, led by #2 for Shawn Lucero at KRXP.
Score: 99.56
TW: 7, LW: 7, Spins: +68
UpRun Away to Mars
Talk (Capitol)
HitPredictor on Sep 19, 2022 -- Callout: top 15 in national callout this week. Top 10 Spins: top 10 at 41 Alternative stations, led by #2 for Chris Crowley at WEND and Brigette Rose at KYMK.
Score: 107.15
TW: 5, LW: 6, Spins: +109