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Alternative
Hit Potential
HitPredictors are songs that score well in pre-testing by a panel of music consumers who are radio listeners. All HitPredictors are chosen by the HitPredictor team, primarily using testing results; however, additional qualifications for HP selection include early indications from other sources that often predict musical success such as social media exposure and early airplay.
LW
TW
Mediabase airplay rank
HitPredictor Score
Score
1
1
Linkin Park
Lost
Linkin Park
Warner
139.39
2
2
Fall Out Boy
Love from the Other Side
Fall Out Boy
Fueled by Ramen/Elektra/3EE
125.11
6
9
Weezer
Records
Weezer
Crush
100.15
5
5
White_Reaper
Pages
White Reaper
Elektra/3EE*
95.07
15
15
The Moss
Insomnia
The Moss
S-Curve/Hollywood
94.76
18
17
Beabadoobee
The Perfect Pair
Beabadoobee
Dirty Hit
94.57
4
4
Beach Weather
Sex, Drugs, Etc.
Beach Weather
8123/Arista
87.81
16
14
Pierce_The_Veil
Emergency Contact
Pierce The Veil
Fearless/Concord
87.79
7
6
Gorillaz
New Gold (feat. Tame Impala & B...
Gorillaz
Warner
87.72
8
10
Maneskin
The Loneliest
Maneskin
Sony Music Latin/Arista
81.09
13
11
Rosa Linn
Snap
Rosa Linn
Columbia
78.92
11
16
Red Hot Chili Peppers
The Drummer
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Warner
78.20
3
3
Lovelytheband
Sail Away
Lovelytheband
Happy Accident/The Orchard
77.71
12
18
Half Alive
Did I Make You Up?
Half Alive
half-alive/RCA
77.61
19
19
Young the Giant
The Walk Home
Young the Giant
AWAL
76.92
31
23
Mike_Shinoda
New In My Head (feat. Kailee Morgue)
Mike Shinoda
Warner
72.13
17
13
Portugal. The Man
New Dummy
Portugal. The Man
Atlantic
70.96
14
12
Depeche Mode
Ghosts Again
Depeche Mode
Columbia
69.05
9
8
Death Cab for Cutie
Pepper
Death Cab for Cutie
Atlantic
65.04
10
7
The Revivalists
Kid
The Revivalists
Concord
64.86
--
--
Jack White
A Tip from You to Me
Jack White
Third Man/The Orchard
87.13
Recent Hits
Recurrent songs that tested with Hit Potential prior to major airplay, ranked in order of HitPredictor scores and updated each Monday.
HitPredictor Score
Score
The 1975
I'm in Love with You
The 1975
Dirty Hit
114.03
Wilderado
Surefire
Wilderado
Bright Antenna
111.45
Gorillaz
Cracker Island (feat. Thundercat)
Gorillaz
Warner
110.46
Kate Bush
Running Up That Hill (A Deal wi...
Kate Bush
EMI/Parlophone/Warner
108.58
Paramore
This Is Why
Paramore
Atlantic
107.28
Talk
Run Away to Mars
Talk
Capitol
107.15
Florence + The Machine
My Love
Florence + The Machine
Republic
107.00
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Tippa My Tongue
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Warner
105.99
All Time Low
Sleepwalking
All Time Low
Fueled by Ramen/3EE
99.56
Vance_Joy
Clarity
Vance Joy
Atlantic
99.28
Blink-182
Edging
Blink-182
Columbia
98.60
Black Keys
Wild Child
Black Keys
Nonesuch/Warner
98.00
Panic! At The Disco
Viva Las Vengeance
Panic! At The Disco
DCD2/Fueled by Ramen/3ee
95.11
My Chemical Romance
The Foundations of Decay
My Chemical Romance
Reprise/Warner
94.95
Wilderado
Head Right
Wilderado
Bright Antenna
94.83
Maneskin
Beggin
Maneskin
Sony Music Latin/Arista
92.04
Maggie_Rogers
Want Want
Maggie Rogers
Capitol
91.91
Cannons
Bad Dream
Cannons
Columbia
90.66
Weezer
A Little Bit of Love
Weezer
Crush
88.62
Panic! At The Disco
Don't Let The Light Go Out
Panic! At The Disco
DCD2/Fueled by Ramen/3ee
88.58
Imagine Dragons
Bones
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
88.20
Muse
Won't Stand Down
Muse
Warner
86.07
Twenty One Pilots
The Outside
Twenty One Pilots
Fueled by Ramen/EMG
85.92
Maneskin
Supermodel
Maneskin
Sony Music Latin/Arista
85.86
Yungblud
fleabag
Yungblud
Loco/Geffen/Interscope
84.89
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Black Summer
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Warner
84.59
Foals
Wake Me Up
Foals
ADA/Q Prime
84.26
Giovannie and the Hired Guns
Ramon Ayala
Giovannie and the Hired Guns
Warner/Crush
83.43
AJR
I Won't
AJR
AJR Productions/BMG
82.86
Killers
Boy
Killers
Island/Republic
81.05
Bob_Moses
Love Brand New
Bob Moses
Domino/ASW/Capitol
79.56
Yungblud
The Funeral
Yungblud
Loco/Geffen/Interscope
78.50
Portugal. The Man
What, Me Worry?
Portugal. The Man
Atlantic
78.15
Death Cab for Cutie
Here To Forever
Death Cab for Cutie
Atlantic
77.80
Turnstile
Mystery
Turnstile
Roadrunner/RRP
77.72
Phoenix
Tonight (feat. Ezra Koenig)
Phoenix
Columbia-Glassnote
75.73
BoyWithUke
Toxic
BoyWithUke
Mercury/Republic
75.15
Jack White
What's the Trick
Jack White
Third Man/The Orchard
74.14
Cafune
Tek It
Cafune
Elektra/3ee
73.19
Phoenix
Alpha Zulu
Phoenix
Columbia-Glassnote
72.71
Foo Fighters
Love Dies Young
Foo Fighters
RCA
72.35
The Maine
Loved You a Little
The Maine
Photo Finish/8123/Virgin
71.75
Dirty Heads
Life's Been Good
Dirty Heads
Better Noise
70.51
Lumineers
Where We Are
Lumineers
Dualtone/MNRK
69.32
Jack White
Taking Me Back
Jack White
Third Man/The Orchard
66.62
Imagine Dragons
Enemy
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
65.52
This Week's New HitPredictors
HitPredictor Score
Score
Mike_Shinoda
New In My Head (feat. Kailee Morgue)
Mike Shinoda
Warner
72.13
Portugal. The Man
New Dummy
Portugal. The Man
Atlantic
70.96
 
This Week's Proven & Developing Hits
Developing Hits
Songs that are top 10 spin gainers this week and not yet Proven. Each song only appears once as a Developing Hit.
UpNew 13-2023-03-27 10:27:41The Walk Home
Young the Giant (AWAL)
HitPredictor on Feb 13, 2023 -- Movers: top 10 gainer at Alternative this week, up over 125 spins.
Score: 76.92
TW: 19, LW: 19, Spins: +129
UpNew 13-2023-03-27 10:27:32Kid
The Revivalists (Concord)
HitPredictor on Mar 20, 2023 -- Movers: the #1 gainer at Alternative this week, up almost 325 spins.
Score: 64.86
TW: 7, LW: 10, Spins: +321
Proven Hits
Songs that test top 10 in national callout or top 10 in callout in key markets for the first time this week.
UpNew Gold (feat. Tame Impala & Bootie Brown)
Gorillaz (Warner)
HitPredictor on Feb 21, 2023 -- Callout: top 15 in national callout this week. Top 10 Spins: top 10 at 40 Alternative stations, led by #2 for Jeb Nerf Freedman at KTCL, Michelle Rutkowski at WLUM and 2 other #2 reports.
Score: 87.72
TW: 6, LW: 7, Spins: +248