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Country
Hit Potential
HitPredictors are songs that score well in pre-testing by a panel of music consumers who are radio listeners. All HitPredictors are chosen by the HitPredictor team, primarily using testing results; however, additional qualifications for HP selection include early indications from other sources that often predict musical success such as social media exposure and early airplay.
LW
TW
Mediabase airplay rank
HitPredictor Score
Score
17
13
Justin Moore
With a Woman You Love
Justin Moore
Valory
115.50
3
2
Morgan_Wallen
Wasted on You
Morgan Wallen
Big Loud/Republic
103.00
13
9
Kane_Brown
Like I Love Country Music
Kane Brown
RCA Nashville
102.69
29
30
Gabby_Barrett
New Pick Me Up
Gabby Barrett
Warner/WAR
98.65
33
27
Tyler Hubbard
5 Foot 9
Tyler Hubbard
EMI Nashville
96.50
21
19
Mitchell Tenpenny
Truth About You
Mitchell Tenpenny
Riser House/Columbia
96.00
20
16
Carrie Underwood
Ghost Story
Carrie Underwood
Capitol Nashville
95.15
26
25
Lee Brice
Soul
Lee Brice
Curb
94.64
12
11
Chris Young
At the End of a Bar (with Mitch...
Chris Young
RCA Nashville
94.50
5
5
Walker Hayes
AA
Walker Hayes
Monument
94.39
15
12
Jon Pardi
Last Night Lonely
Jon Pardi
Capitol Nashville
93.76
1
3
Jason Aldean
Trouble with a Heartbreak
Jason Aldean
Macon Music/Broken Bow
92.50
22
21
Old_Dominion
No Hard Feelings
Old Dominion
Arista Nashville
92.50
13
13
Russell_Dickerson
Home Sweet
Russell Dickerson
Triple Tigers
91.08
25
24
Ingrid_Andress
Wishful Drinking w/Sam Hunt
Ingrid Andress
Atlantic/Warner/WEA
89.25
8
8
Dylan_Scott
New Truck
Dylan Scott
Curb
87.14
16
15
Jackson Dean
Don't Come Lookin'
Jackson Dean
Big Machine
85.93
6
6
Tim McGraw
7500 OBO
Tim McGraw
Big Machine
85.61
18
17
Kenny Chesney
Everyone She Knows
Kenny Chesney
Blue Chair/Warner/WEA
85.27
2
1
Parmalee
Take My Name
Parmalee
Stoney Creek
85.12
4
4
Scotty McCreery
Damn Strait
Scotty McCreery
Triple Tigers
83.66
9
7
Jake Owen
Best Thing Since Backroads
Jake Owen
Big Loud
82.82
10
20
Miranda Lambert
If I Was a Cowboy
Miranda Lambert
RCA Nashville
80.25
19
18
Ernest
Flower Shops (feat. Morgan Wall...
Ernest
Big Loud
79.67
7
14
Keith Urban
Wild Hearts
Keith Urban
Capitol Nashville
79.51
24
23
Frank Ray
Country'd Look Good on You
Frank Ray
Stoney Creek
77.32
11
10
Maren_Morris
Circles Around This Town
Maren Morris
Columbia Nashville
75.72
27
26
Jelly Roll
Son of A Sinner
Jelly Roll
Stoney Creek/BMG
75.68
107
105
Brothers Osborne
I'm Not for Everyone
Brothers Osborne
EMI Nashville
74.00
23
22
Dustin Lynch
Party Mode
Dustin Lynch
Broken Bow
72.28
Recent Hits
Recurrent songs that tested with Hit Potential prior to major airplay, ranked in order of HitPredictor scores and updated each Monday.
HitPredictor Score
Score
Thomas Rhett
Country Again
Thomas Rhett
Valory
112.89
Justin Moore
We Didn't Have Much
Justin Moore
Valory
110.77
Chase Rice/Florida Georgia Line
Drinkin' Beer. Talkin' God. Amen
Chase Rice/Florida Georgia Line
Dak Janiels/BBR-BMLG
110.34
Chris Young & Kane Brown
Famous Friends
Chris Young & Kane Brown
RCA Nashville
109.41
Luke Bryan
Waves
Luke Bryan
Capitol Nashville
109.19
Jason Aldean
Blame It On You
Jason Aldean
Macon Music/Broken Bow
109.00
Sam_Hunt
23
Sam Hunt
MCA Nashville
108.94
Chris_Stapleton
You Should Probably Leave
Chris Stapleton
Mercury Nashville
106.10
Jimmie Allen & Brad Paisley
Freedom Was A Highway
Jimmie Allen & Brad Paisley
Stoney Creek
105.71
Dierks Bentley
Gone
Dierks Bentley
Atlantic/Big Loud/Capitol
102.57
Dustin Lynch
Thinking 'Bout You (feat. MacKe...
Dustin Lynch
Broken Bow
100.83
Scotty McCreery
You Time
Scotty McCreery
Triple Tigers
99.49
Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood
If I Didn't Love You
Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood
Macon/Broken Bow/Capitol
98.13
Luke_Combs
Doin' This
Luke Combs
River House/Columbia Nashville
97.86
Kelsea_Ballerini
Half of My Hometown (feat. Kenn...
Kelsea Ballerini
Black River Entertainment
97.81
Zac Brown Band
Same Boat
Zac Brown Band
Home Grown/Warner/WAR
96.55
Carly Pearce & Ashley McBryde
Never Wanted to Be That Girl
Carly Pearce & Ashley McBryde
Big Machine/WMN
95.00
Thomas Rhett
Slow Down Summer
Thomas Rhett
Valory
94.87
Jameson Rodgers
Cold Beer Calling My Name (feat...
Jameson Rodgers
River House/Columbia Nashville
94.66
Jordan_Davis
Buy Dirt (feat. Luke Bryan)
Jordan Davis
MCA Nashville
93.66
Blake Shelton
Minimum Wage
Blake Shelton
Warner/WMN
93.34
Dierks Bentley, Breland & Hardy
Beers on Me
Dierks Bentley, Breland & Hardy
Atlantic/Big Loud/Capitol
92.75
Elle King & Miranda Lambert
Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home)
Elle King & Miranda Lambert
RCA/Columbia Nashville
92.09
Kane_Brown
One Mississippi
Kane Brown
RCA Nashville
90.77
Eric Church
Heart On Fire
Eric Church
EMI Nashville
90.24
Old_Dominion
I Was on a Boat That Day
Old Dominion
Arista Nashville
90.00
Cole Swindell & Lainey Wilson
Never Say Never
Cole Swindell & Lainey Wilson
Warner/WMN/BBR
90.00
Ryan Hurd with Maren Morris
Chasing After You
Ryan Hurd with Maren Morris
Arista Nashville
88.81
Cody_Johnson
Till You Can't
Cody Johnson
Cojo/Warner/WMN
88.05
Lee Brice
Memory I Don't Mess With
Lee Brice
Curb
85.71
Elvie Shane
My Boy
Elvie Shane
Wheelhouse
85.33
Cole_Swindell
Single Saturday Night
Cole Swindell
Warner/WMN
84.33
Jon Pardi
Tequila Little Time
Jon Pardi
Capitol Nashville
83.51
Morgan_Wallen
Sand In My Boots
Morgan Wallen
Big Loud/Republic
83.17
Dan + Shay
Glad You Exist
Dan + Shay
Warner/WAR
82.19
Blake Shelton
Come Back as a Country Boy
Blake Shelton
Warner/WMN
80.00
Miranda Lambert
Settling Down
Miranda Lambert
RCA Nashville
79.29
Keith Urban with Pink
One Too Many
Keith Urban with Pink
RCA/Capitol Nashville
79.06
Parker McCollum
To Be Loved By You
Parker McCollum
MCA Nashville
77.43
Hardy
Give Heaven Some Hell
Hardy
Big Loud
77.10
Kenny Chesney
Knowing You
Kenny Chesney
Blue Chair/Warner/WEA
76.13
Walker Hayes
Fancy Like
Walker Hayes
Monument
74.16
Lainey Wilson
Things A Man Oughta Know
Lainey Wilson
Broken Bow
70.29
This Week's New HitPredictors
HitPredictor Score
Score
Gabby_Barrett
New Pick Me Up
Gabby Barrett
Warner/WAR
98.65
 
This Week's Proven & Developing Hits
Developing Hits
Songs that are top 10 spin gainers this week and not yet Proven. Each song only appears once as a Developing Hit.
Up5 Foot 9
Tyler Hubbard (EMI Nashville)
HitPredictor on Jun 6, 2022 -- Movers: top 5 gainer at Country this week, up almost 575 spins,
Score: 96.50
TW: 27, LW: 33, Spins: +564
Proven Hits
Songs that test top 10 in national callout or top 10 in callout in key markets for the first time this week.
UpWith a Woman You Love
Justin Moore (Valory)
HitPredictor on Mar 21, 2022 -- Callout: top 15 in national callout this week. Top 10 Spins: top 10 at 32 Country stations, led by #1 for Mr. Bob at WOGK and Sarah Kay at WQMX.
Score: 115.50
TW: 13, LW: 17, Spins: +419