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Hot AC
Hit Potential
HitPredictors are songs that score well in pre-testing by a panel of music consumers who are radio listeners. All HitPredictors are chosen by the HitPredictor team, primarily using testing results; however, additional qualifications for HP selection include early indications from other sources that often predict musical success such as social media exposure and early airplay.
LW
TW
Mediabase airplay rank
HitPredictor Score
Score
4
4
The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber
Stay
The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber
Columbia
127.83
6
5
Em Beihold
Numb Little Bug
Em Beihold
Republic
122.60
53
41
Halsey
New So Good
Halsey
Capitol
121.64
19
16
Sia
Unstoppable
Sia
RCA
118.45
15
14
Sam_Smith
Love Me More
Sam Smith
Capitol
115.73
37
26
Harry_Styles
Late Night Talking
Harry Styles
Columbia
113.00
14
13
Lady Gaga
Hold My Hand
Lady Gaga
Interscope
111.57
9
9
Shawn_Mendes
When You're Gone
Shawn Mendes
Island/Republic
111.00
12
12
Camila_Cabello
Bam Bam (feat. Ed Sheeran)
Camila Cabello
Syco/Epic
109.36
16
15
Ed Sheeran
2step (feat. Lil Baby)
Ed Sheeran
Atlantic
106.71
38
40
Lauren Spencer-Smith
Fingers Crossed
Lauren Spencer-Smith
Island/Republic
106.08
17
20
Tate McRae
she's all i wanna be
Tate McRae
RCA
105.86
44
29
Kate Bush
Running Up That Hill (A Deal wi...
Kate Bush
EMI/Parlophone/Warner
103.24
21
19
OneRepublic
West Coast
OneRepublic
Mosley/Interscope
102.26
35
38
Alesso & Katy Perry
When I'm Gone
Alesso & Katy Perry
10:22PM/ASW/Capitol
98.46
10
7
Lizzo
About Damn Time
Lizzo
Nice Life/Atlantic
98.38
13
11
Latto
Big Energy
Latto
Republic-RCA
92.58
2
3
Imagine Dragons
Enemy
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
92.20
5
6
Justin Bieber
Ghost
Justin Bieber
Def Jam/Universal
88.00
18
17
The Band Camino
I Think I Like You
The Band Camino
Elektra/EMG
86.34
8
8
Lil Nas X
That's What I Want
Lil Nas X
Columbia
84.11
25
22
Jack Harlow
First Class
Jack Harlow
Generation Now/Atlantic
82.65
24
21
Nicky Youre
Sunroof (feat. Dazy)
Nicky Youre
Columbia
78.00
27
25
The Weeknd
Out Of Time
The Weeknd
XO/Republic
75.43
3
2
Glass_Animals
Heat Waves
Glass Animals
Republic
74.33
23
23
Ava_Max
Maybe You're the Problem
Ava Max
Atlantic
74.11
1
1
Harry_Styles
As It Was
Harry Styles
Columbia
74.07
20
18
The Kid Laroi
Thousand Miles
The Kid Laroi
Columbia
71.78
11
10
Dove Cameron
Boyfriend
Dove Cameron
Disruptor/Columbia
71.52
22
35
The Walters
I Love You So
The Walters
Warner
71.00
Recent Hits
Recurrent songs that tested with Hit Potential prior to major airplay, ranked in order of HitPredictor scores and updated each Monday.
HitPredictor Score
Score
Marshmello feat. Jonas Brothers
Leave Before You Love Me
Marshmello feat. Jonas Brothers
Republic
119.40
P!nk
All I Know So Far
P!nk
RCA
116.33
Adele
Easy On Me
Adele
Columbia
115.50
Ed Sheeran
Bad Habits
Ed Sheeran
Atlantic
112.09
Elton John & Dua Lipa
Cold Heart
Elton John & Dua Lipa
Mercury/Warner-Interscope
110.43
Dua_Lipa
Love Again
Dua Lipa
Warner
110.30
Taylor Swift
Willow
Taylor Swift
Republic
109.06
Maroon 5
Beautiful Mistakes (feat. Megan...
Maroon 5
222/Interscope
103.38
Olivia Rodrigo
good 4 u
Olivia Rodrigo
Geffen/Interscope
100.69
Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak/Silk Sonic
Leave The Door Open
Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak/Silk Sonic
Aftermath/Atlantic
99.00
Taylor Swift
Message in a Bottle (Taylor's v...
Taylor Swift
Republic
97.00
Gayle
abcdefu
Gayle
Arthouse/Atlantic
96.21
Olivia Rodrigo
deja vu
Olivia Rodrigo
Geffen/Interscope
94.88
Coldplay X BTS
My Universe
Coldplay X BTS
Parlophone/Atlantic
91.21
Adele
Oh My God
Adele
Columbia
87.16
Ed Sheeran
Shivers
Ed Sheeran
Atlantic
86.22
Machine Gun Kelly & Blackbear
My Ex's Best Friend
Machine Gun Kelly & Blackbear
Bad Boy/Interscope
85.80
Maneskin
Beggin
Maneskin
Arista
85.69
Maneskin
Beggin
Maneskin
Arista
85.69
Tate McRae
You Broke Me First
Tate McRae
RCA
85.22
The Weeknd
Take My Breath
The Weeknd
XO/Republic
84.73
Twenty One Pilots
Saturday
Twenty One Pilots
Fueled by Ramen/EMG
84.61
The Weeknd
Save Your Tears
The Weeknd
XO/Republic
79.88
Charlie_Puth
Light Switch
Charlie Puth
Atlantic
77.83
5_Seconds_of_Summer
Complete Mess
5 Seconds of Summer
BMG
76.80
Walker Hayes
Fancy Like
Walker Hayes
Monument
75.97
Duncan Laurence
Arcade
Duncan Laurence
Capitol
75.28
Doja_Cat
Kiss Me More (feat. SZA)
Doja Cat
Kemosabe/RCA
73.33
Justin Bieber
Peaches (feat. Daniel Caesar & ...
Justin Bieber
Def Jam/Universal
73.27
The Kid Laroi
Without You (with Miley Cyrus)
The Kid Laroi
Columbia
71.80
Alesso & Marshmello
Chasing Stars (feat. James Bay)
Alesso & Marshmello
10:22/Astralwerks/Capitol
70.58
AJR
Way Less Sad
AJR
BMG-Hollywood
67.43
This Week's New HitPredictors
HitPredictor Score
Score
Halsey
New So Good
Halsey
Capitol
121.64
 
This Week's Proven & Developing Hits
Developing Hits
Songs that are top 10 spin gainers this week and not yet Proven. Each song only appears once as a Developing Hit.
UpRunning Up That Hill (A Deal with God)
Kate Bush (EMI/Parlophone/Warner)
HitPredictor on Jun 13, 2022 -- Movers: top 5 gainer at Hot AC this week, up over 325 spins.
Score: 103.24
TW: 29, LW: 44, Spins: +335
UpLate Night Talking
Harry Styles (Columbia)
HitPredictor on Jun 13, 2022 -- Movers: the #2 gainer at Hot AC this week, up almost 400 spins.
Score: 113.00
TW: 26, LW: 37, Spins: +396
Proven Hits
Songs that test top 10 in national callout or top 10 in callout in key markets for the first time this week.
UpUnstoppable
Sia (RCA)
HitPredictor on May 9, 2022 -- Callout: top 15 in national callout this week. Top 10 Spins: top 10 at 15 Hot AC stations, led by #1 for John Peake at KBIG.
Score: 118.45
TW: 16, LW: 19, Spins: +390